Abstract
BACKGROUND: Acute scrotal pain (ASP) is the most common urological emergency in pediatrics, and its causes include testicular torsion (TT), testicular appendage torsion, and epididymo-orchitis. Among them, TT requires prompt and accurate diagnosis and urgent surgical exploration to prevent testicular loss. Conservative anti-infective treatment is recommended for epididymo-orchitis, and surgery is considered only when scrotal abscess formation and sepsis occur. Improving the understanding of TT in primary care doctors, early diagnosis, and timely surgical exploration are essential to improve the survival rate of TT and avoid excessive treatment. This study aimed to explore the risk factors for TT in children with ASP and construct a predictive model. METHODS: Clinical data of children who presented with ASP and underwent emergency scrotal exploration surgery were retrospectively analyzed, including general information, physical examination, laboratory tests, and color Doppler ultrasonography (CDU) findings. Based on surgical exploration, the outcomes were categorized as confirmed TT or not. RESULTS: A total of 283 children were included in this study, among whom 134 had TT. The mean age of all patients was 105±47.9 months, with the majority being of Han ethnicity (87.6%) and residing in urban areas (83%). Most patients had normal C-reactive protein levels and negative results in urine routine white blood cell tests (63.3%). After conducting univariate and multivariate logistic regression analyses, we identified laterality, neutrophil count, mean erythrocyte sedimentation rate, epididymal blood flow signal, testicular parenchymal echogenicity, and testicular blood flow signal as independent risk factors influencing the occurrence of TT in ASP patients. CONCLUSIONS: This study is the report with the largest sample size on the construction of prediction models for ASP in children in southwestern China. The predictive model we developed demonstrated excellent performance and higher accuracy in predicting TT in children compared to the traditional Testicular Workup for Ischemia and Suspected Torsion (TWIST) score. It can assist pediatric surgeons in diagnosing and treating children with ASP.