Abstract
BACKGROUND: The prognostic value of ground glass opacity (GGO) in stage IA non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC) has been widely recognized. However, studies investigating its value in the related stage IB-IIA lung adenocarcinoma (LUAD) remains lacking. The impact of adjuvant chemotherapy (ACT) on pathological stage IB-IIA LUAD is also controversial. MATERIALS AND METHODS: We retrospectively reviewed the clinical records of 501 patients with pathological stage IB-IIA LUAD at the Sun Yat-sen University Cancer Center from January 2008 to June 2018. We calculated and compared survival curves using the Kaplan-Meier test and log-rank test. Cox regression models were performed to determine independent prognostic factors of disease-free survival (DFS) and overall survival (OS). We established nomograms to predict the OS and DFS of LUAD patients. Calibration and receiver operator characteristic curves were conducted to assess the predictive performance of two nomograms. Based on the nomogram, we identified candidate patients that may most benefit from ACT after surgery. RESULTS: The number of patients with pure solid, part GGO, and pure GGO nodules was 240, 242, and 19, respectively, and 125 patients who received ACT. Patients with consolidation-to-tumor ratio (CTR) <0.75 had longer OS (P = 0.026) and DFS (P = 0.003). Pathological tumor size and at least 10 lymph nodes (LNs) resection were independent prognostic factors of both OS and DFS. CTR <0.75 was positively associated with DFS. The C-index of nomograms predicting individual OS and DFS was 0.660 and 0.634, respectively. Based on the nomogram for OS, ACT was found to be a positive prognostic indicator of OS (P = 0.031, HR = 0.5141, 95% CI 0.281-0.942) in patients with nomogram total points ≥5. CONCLUSION: CTR <0.75 is associated with a better DFS in patients with stage IB-IIA LUAD. Nomograms developed by integrating pathological tumor size, at least 10 LNs resection, and CTR ≥0.75 for predicting individual OS and DFS displayed a good predictive capacity and clinical value, which were also proved to be a useful tool for selecting patients most benefiting from ACT.