Abstract
Growth differentiation factor (GDF)-15 and soluble ST2 (sST2) are established prognostic markers in acute and chronic heart failure. Assessment of these biomarkers might improve arrhythmic risk stratification of patients with non-ischaemic, dilated cardiomyopathy (DCM) based on left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF). We studied the prognostic value of GDF-15 and sST2 for prediction of arrhythmic death (AD) and all-cause mortality in patients with DCM. We prospectively enrolled 52 patients with DCM and LVEF ≤ 50%. Primary end-points were time to AD or resuscitated cardiac arrest (RCA), and secondary end-point was all-cause mortality. The median follow-up time was 7 years. A cardiac death was observed in 20 patients, where 10 patients had an AD and 2 patients had a RCA. One patient died a non-cardiac death. GDF-15, but not sST2, was associated with increased risk of the AD/RCA with a hazard ratio (HR) of 2.1 (95% CI = 1.1-4.3; P = .031). GDF-15 remained an independent predictor of AD/RCA after adjustment for LVEF with adjusted HR of 2.2 (95% CI = 1.1-4.5; P = .028). Both GDF-15 and sST2 were independent predictors of all-cause mortality (adjusted HR = 2.4; 95% CI = 1.4-4.2; P = .003 vs HR = 1.6; 95% CI = 1.05-2.7; P = .030). In a model including GDF-15, sST2, LVEF and NYHA functional class, only GDF-15 was significantly associated with the secondary end-point (adjusted HR = 2.2; 95% CI = 1.05-5.2; P = .038). GDF-15 is superior to sST2 in prediction of fatal arrhythmic events and all-cause mortality in DCM. Assessment of GDF-15 could provide additional information on top of LVEF and help identifying patients at risk of arrhythmic death.