Abstract
The aim of the present study was to use a competing risk model to analyze the prognostic value of mucinous adenocarcinoma (MAC) in patients with colorectal cancer (CRC). An additional aim was to construct nomograms for estimating the 3- and 5-year overall survival (OS) and cancer specific survival (CSS) rates of patients with primary CRC with MAC. The data were extracted from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results database, and a Multivariate Cox model and competing risk model were applied to assess the OS and CSS. Cox-based and competing risk-based nomograms were constructed and internally validated by discrimination and calibration, using the bootstrapping method with 1,000 times replicates. A total of 13,035 MAC and 61,958 non-mucinous adenocarcinoma (NMAC) CRC patients were enrolled in the present study. Compared with NMAC, MAC patients had a poorer OS and CSS time in the overall population, and in subgroups that comprised metastatic, non-metastatic, male, site of sigmoid colon, rectosigmoid junction and rectal CRC cases (HR>1; P<0.05). The Cox and competing risk-based nomograms showed effective discrimination and calibration. In conclusion, MAC was associated with poor OS and CSS in patients with CRC of the distal colon and rectum. The nomograms of primary CRC patients with MAC may aid the identification of individual patients with a high risk of overall mortality and cancer-associated mortality within 3 or 5 years.