Abstract
At type 1 diabetes mellitus (T1DM) onset, acute kidney injury (AKI) is very common. To diagnose AKI, the availability of a baseline serum creatinine (bSCr) is pivotal. However, in most hospitalized children the bSCr is unknown. We aimed to test whether the bSCr estimated on the basis of height (ebSCr) could be a reliable surrogate for AKI diagnosis compared with the measured bSCr (mbSCr). As the mbSCr, we considered the creatinine measured 14 days after T1DM onset while ebSCr (mg/dL) = (k × height [cm])/120 mL/min/1.73 m2, where k = 0.55 for children and adolescent girls and k = 0.7 for adolescent boys. AKI was defined as serum creatinine values >1.5 times the baseline creatinine. Kappa statistics and the percentage of agreement in AKI classification by ebSCr−AKI versus mbSCr−AKI definition methods were calculated. Bland−Altman plots were used to show the agreement between the creatinine ratio (highest/baseline creatinine; HC/BC) calculated with mbSCr and ebSCr. The number of 163 patients with T1DM onset were included. On the basis of mbSCr, 66/163 (40.5%) presented AKI while, on the basis of ebSCr, 50/163 (30.7%) accomplished AKI definition. ebSCr showed good correlation with mbSCr using both the Spearman test (rho = 0.67; p < 0.001) and regression analysis (r = 0.68; p < 0.001). Moreover, at the Bland−Altman plots, the bias of the highest/baseline creatinine ratio calculated on the basis of the mbSCr compared to ebSCr was minimal (bias = −0.08 mg/dL; 95% limits of agreement = −0.23/0.39). AKI determined using ebSCr showed 90% agreement with AKI determined using mbSCr (kappa = 0.66; p < 0.001). Finally, we compared the area under a receiver−operating characteristic curve (AUROC) of HC/BC ratio calculated on the basis of ebSCr with AUROC of the gold standard HC/BC ratio calculated on the basis of mbSCr. As expected, the gold standard had an AUROC = 1.00 with a 95% confidence interval (CI) between 0.98 and 1.00, p < 0.001. The HC/BC ratio calculated on the basis of ebSCr also had significant AUROC (AUROC = 0.94; 95% CI: 0.90−0.97; p < 0.001). The comparison of the two ROC curves showed a p < 0.001. In conclusion, when mbSCr is unknown in patients with T1DM onset, the ebSCr calculated on the basis of height could be an alternative to orientate clinicians toward AKI diagnosis.