Abstract
BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVES: A modest protective association between bisphosphonate prescription and mortality among women with CKD but without clinically manifest cardiovascular disease has been shown. Whether a prior cardiovascular event (myocardial infarction, stroke, or heart failure) modifies this association is unknown. DESIGN, SETTING, PARTICIPANTS, & MEASUREMENTS: A cohort of adult women with stages 3 and 4 CKD receiving primary care in a rural integrated health care system during the period 2004-2011 without history of advanced malignancy or organ transplantation (n=6756, median age=74 years, median follow-up=4.3 years) was retrospectively assembled. The primary analysis compared those patients prescribed bisphosphonates (both prevalent and incident use during follow-up) with those patients not prescribed. Additional approaches were taken to account for survival and indication biases. The primary outcome was time to death by Cox multivariable regression. RESULTS: In the primary analysis, compared with women not prescribed a bisphosphonate, the hazard ratio (95% confidence interval) for death among women prescribed a bisphosphonate was 0.90 (0.78 to 1.04) if there was no history of cardiovascular event but 1.22 (1.04 to 1.42) if there was history of cardiovascular event (P for interaction=0.004). In the additional approaches, associations between bisphosphonate prescription and mortality among those patients with a prior cardiovascular history varied: hazard ratios (95% confidence intervals) were 1.25 (1.01 to 1.57), 1.48 (1.16 to 1.88), and 0.94 (0.66 to 1.34). Interaction by prior cardiovascular event history varied across these three approaches (P=0.07, P=0.22, and P=0.05). CONCLUSION: In this study of women with CKD, the association between bisphosphonate treatment and mortality risk was inconclusive across a series of analyses designed to account for various types of selection and indication bias.