Discussion
This is the first lipid metabolism-based signature with value for prognosis prediction and immunotherapy or chemotherapy guidance for ER+ BC.
Methods
Samples from The Cancer Genome Atlas (TCGA) database were used as training cohort, and samples from the Molecular Taxonomy of Breast Cancer International Consortium (METABRIC), Gene Expression Omnibus (GEO) datasets and our cohort were applied for external validation. The survival-related LMRG molecular pattern and signature were constructed by unsupervised consensus clustering and least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) analysis. A lipid metabolism-related clinicopathologic nomogram was established. Gene enrichment and pathway analysis were performed to explore the underlying mechanism. Immune landscapes, immunotherapy and chemotherapy response were further explored. Moreover, the relationship between gene expression and clinicopathological features was assessed by immunohistochemistry.
Results
Two LMRG molecular patterns were identified and associated with distinct prognoses and immune cell infiltration. Next, a prognostic signature based on nine survival-related LMRGs was established and validated. The signature was confirmed to be an independent prognostic factor and an optimal nomogram incorporating age and T stage (AUC of 5-year overall survival: 0.778). Pathway enrichment analysis revealed differences in immune activities, lipid biosynthesis and drug metabolism by comparing groups with low- and high-risk scores. Further exploration verified different immune microenvironment profiles, immune checkpoint expression, and sensitivity to immunotherapy and chemotherapy between the two groups. Finally, arachidonate 15-lipoxygenase (ALOX15) was selected as the most prominent differentially expressed gene between the two groups. Its expression was positively related to larger tumor size, more advanced tumor stage and vascular invasion in our cohort (n = 149).