Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome Coronavirus 2 Transmission Potential, Iran, 2020

2020年伊朗严重急性呼吸综合征冠状病毒2的传播潜力

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Abstract

To determine the transmission potential of severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 in Iran in 2020, we estimated the reproduction number as 4.4 (95% CI 3.9-4.9) by using a generalized growth model and 3.5 (95% CI 1.3-8.1) by using epidemic doubling time. The reproduction number decreased to 1.55 after social distancing interventions were implemented.

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