Abstract
Physiologically based pharmacokinetic (PBPK) modeling of drug disposition and drug-drug interactions (DDIs) has become a key component of drug development. PBPK modeling has also been considered as an approach to predict drug disposition in special populations. However, whether models developed and validated in healthy populations can be extrapolated to special populations is not well established. The goal of this study was to determine whether a drug-specific PBPK model validated using healthy populations could be used to predict drug disposition in specific populations and in organ impairment patients. A full PBPK model of atomoxetine was developed using a training set of pharmacokinetic (PK) data from CYP2D6 genotyped individuals. The model was validated using drug-specific acceptance criteria and a test set of 14 healthy subject PK studies. Population PBPK models were then challenged by simulating the effects of ethnicity, DDIs, pediatrics, and renal and hepatic impairment on atomoxetine PK. Atomoxetine disposition was successfully predicted in 100% of healthy subject studies, 88% of studies in Asians, 79% of DDI studies, and 100% of pediatric studies. However, the atomoxetine area under the plasma concentration versus time curve (AUC) was overpredicted by 3- to 4-fold in end stage renal disease and hepatic impairment. The results show that validated PBPK models can be extrapolated to different ethnicities, DDIs, and pediatrics but not to renal and hepatic impairment patients, likely due to incomplete understanding of the physiologic changes in these conditions. These results show that systematic modeling efforts can be used to further refine population models to improve the predictive value in this area.