Abstract
BACKGROUND: Definitions of childhood and adolescent hypertension (HTN) do not precisely elucidate the relationship between HTN and cardiovascular outcomes. Carotid intima-media thickness (CIMT), as a substitute for cardiovascular outcomes, enables the early identification of cardiovascular events throughout early adulthood. PURPOSE: This study aimed to compare the ability of childhood HTN definitions to predict a high CIMT in early adulthood. METHODS: This prospective cohort study included 921 individuals aged 10-17 years from the Tehran Lipid and Glucose Study. The CIMT was measured after 18 years of follow-up. Participants were categorized into normal blood pressure (BP), high-normal BP, HTN stage 1, and HTN stage 2 groups based on the childhood HTN definitions of the 4th report, European Society of Hypertension (ESH), and American Academy of Pediatrics Clinical Practice Guidelines (AAP-CPG). Akaike information criterion (AIC) and relative efficiencies (RE) were calculated to compare the ability of each to predict a high CIMT (≥95th percentile) during early adulthood. RESULTS: The highest and lowest prevalence of stage 1 HTN was observed with the AAP-CPG (17.7%) and ESH (8.8%), respectively. Similarly, the highest and lowest prevalence of stage 2 HTN was noted with the AAP-CPG (1.5%) and ESH (0.8%), respectively. According to the RE values, the highest to lowest predictive abilities belonged to the 4th report, ESH, and AAP-CPG, respectively. In all models, the 4th report's pediatric HTN definition had the lowest AIC value and offered the best predictive ability. CONCLUSION: Among the various definitions of pediatric HTN, the 4th report offered the best ability to predict a high CIMT during early adulthood, followed by the ESH and AAP-CPG. Because the reference population of the 4th report includes overweight, obese, and normal- weight individuals, our findings suggest that excessive adiposity is among the main predictors of early adulthood atherosclerosis risk.