Time-Dependent Outcomes of Convalescent Plasma in Early COVID-19: A Single-Center Cohort with a Host-Pathogen Perspective

早期新冠肺炎康复者血浆治疗的时间依赖性结果:一项基于宿主-病原体视角的单中心队列研究

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Abstract

BACKGROUND: Evidence on COVID-19 convalescent plasma (CCP) is mixed. We examined associations between CCP administration and in-hospital outcomes among patients hospitalized during early pandemic waves in Poland. METHODS: We conducted a retrospective, single-center cohort study of adults hospitalized with COVID-19 between October 2020 and January 2021. Patients receiving CCP were compared with contemporaneous controls without CCP. Primary outcomes were in-hospital mortality and discharge alive. Requirement for invasive mechanical ventilation/intubation was summarized descriptively because timing of intubation was not reliably available. Group comparisons used χ(2)/Fisher's exact tests and t-test/Mann-Whitney U tests as appropriate. Associations with mortality and discharge were evaluated using logistic regression: (i) a prespecified age-adjusted model and (ii) an exploratory prognostic model including in-hospital treatments and severity markers (systemic glucocorticoids, remdesivir, oxygen therapy, and antibiotic use), interpreted prognostically rather than causally. RESULTS: The cohort included 224 patients (CCP, n = 92; controls, n = 132); outcome status was missing for eight controls. Baseline demographics, comorbidities, and admission laboratory values were broadly comparable between groups. Crude in-hospital mortality was 25% in the CCP group (23/92) versus 42% in controls (52/124; p = 0.010), and discharge alive occurred in 66% versus 50%, respectively (p = 0.022). Invasive mechanical ventilation/intubation was required in 12.0% of CCP recipients and 4.5% of controls (p = 0.071). In age-adjusted models, CCP was associated with lower odds of in-hospital death. In exploratory prognostic models incorporating systemic glucocorticoids, remdesivir, oxygen therapy, and antibiotic use, CCP remained associated with lower odds of death and higher odds of discharge alive. CONCLUSIONS: In this early-wave retrospective cohort, CCP administration was associated with lower in-hospital mortality and higher discharge rates. Exploratory analyses adjusted for concomitant in-hospital therapies and severity markers should be interpreted as prognostic associations rather than evidence of causal efficacy.

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