Abstract
Global climate change, coupled with the escalating severity of species invasions, has profoundly impacted and continues to influence species distribution patterns across multiple spatial scales. The invasive ant species Anoplolepis gracilipes (yellow crazy ants) and the dominant species Oecophylla smaragdina (weaver ants) share a significant overlapping distribution in tropical Asia and Oceania. The changes in their distribution areas, particularly in the overlapping regions, under future climate change scenarios remain inadequately explored. By integrating field behavioral experiments conducted on two ant species with climate and topographic datasets, we evaluated the extent of overlapping ranges and predicted the future dynamics of both species. Our results show that yellow crazy ants are more efficient at finding food and mobilizing workers, indicating stronger collaborative abilities than weaver ants. Under food and water deprivation conditions, yellow crazy ants exhibit a higher survival rate than weaver ants. Climatic factors exert a greater influence on the potential distribution of yellow crazy ants compared to topographic factors. Regions with consistently high suitability for yellow crazy ants primarily include southern China, Myanmar, India, Thailand, Malaysia, and Australia. The potential distribution area for weaver ants has constricted due to climate change, while that for yellow crazy ants has expanded. Initially, these two ant species had highly overlapping suitable habitats. However, this overlap is projected to diminish under future climate conditions. Mitigating future climate change could substantially reduce the expansion of yellow crazy ants. This discovery underscores the importance of monitoring and managing the dynamic changes in the distribution areas of both invasive and native species against the backdrop of climate change.