Abstract
Shield tunneling method is widely used in urban metro construction. The construction stability is closely related to the engineering geological conditions. Sandy pebble strata have a loose structure and low cohesion, resulting in great engineering-induced stratigraphic disturbance. Meanwhile, the high water-abundance and strong permeability are extremely detrimental to construction safety. It is of great significance to evaluate the dangerousness of shield tunneling in water-rich pebble strata with large particle size. In this paper, risk assessment of engineering practice is carried through with Chengdu metro project in China as a case study. Referring to the special engineering situations and assessment workload, seven evaluation indices, including compressive strength of pebble layer, boulder volume content, permeability coefficient, groundwater depth, grouting pressure, tunneling speed and tunnel buried depth are selected to establish an evaluation system. A complete risk assessment framework is established based on the cloud model, AHP and entropy weight method. Further, the measured surface settlement is taken as the risk degree characterization to verify the results. This study can provide reference for method selection and evaluation system establishment in the risk assessment of shield tunnel construction in water-rich sandy pebble strata, and contribute to proposing safety management in similar engineering projects.