Abstract
Advances in deep learning have produced a range of models for predicting the protein-sugar interactome; however, structural docking of noncovalent protein-carbohydrate complexes remains largely unexplored. Although all-atom structure prediction models like AlphaFold3 (AF3), Boltz-1, Chai-1, DiffDock, and RosettaFold-All Atom (RFAA) were validated on protein-small molecule complexes, no benchmark or evaluation exists specifically for noncovalent protein-carbohydrate docking. To address this, we developed a high-quality dataset of experimental structures - Benchmark of CArbohydrate Protein Interactions (BCAPIN). Using BCAPIN and a novel evaluation metric, DockQC, we assessed the performance of all-atom structure prediction models on non-covalent protein-carbohydrate docking. We found all methods achieved comparable results, with an 85% success rate for structures of at least acceptable quality. However, we found that the predictive power of all models declined with increasing carbohydrate polymer length. With the capabilities and limitations assessed, we evaluated AF3's ability to predict binding for a set of putative human carbohydrate binding and carbohydrate non-binding proteins. While current models show promise, further development is needed to enable high-confidence, high-throughput prediction of the complete protein-sugar interactome.