Global trends in COVID-19

COVID-19 的全球趋势

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Abstract

The pandemic COVID-19 is certainly one of the most severe infectious diseases in human history. In the last 2 years, the COVID-19 pandemic has caused over 418.6 million confirmed cases and 5.8 million deaths worldwide. Young people make up the majority of all infected COVID-19 cases, but the mortality rate is relatively lower compared to older age groups. Currently, about 55.04% individuals have been fully vaccinated rapidly approaching to herd immunity globally. The challenge is that new SARS-CoV-2 variants with potential to evade immunity from natural infection or vaccine continue to emerge. Breakthrough infections have occurred in both SARS-CoV-2 naturally infected and vaccinated individuals, but breakthrough infections tended to exhibit mild or asymptomatic symptoms and lower mortality rates. Therefore, immunity from natural infection or vaccination can reduce SARS-CoV-2 pathogenicity, but neither can completely prevent SARS-CoV-2 infection/reinfection. Fortunately, the morbidity and mortality of COVID-19 continue to decline. The 7-day average cumulative case fatality of COVID-19 has decreased from 12.3% on the February 25, 2020, to 0.27% on January 09, 2022, which could be related to a decreased SARS-CoV-2 variant virulence, vaccine immunization, and/or better treatment of patients. In conclusion, elimination of SARS-CoV-2 in the world could be impossible or at least an arduous task with a long way to go. The best strategy to prevent COVID-19 pandemic is to expand inoculation rate of effective vaccines. As the population reaches herd immunity, the mortality rate of COVID-19 may continue to decrease, and COVID-19 could eventually become another common cold.

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