Abstract
The determination of innate rate of increase (r) values under different grain storage conditions is critical for insect population predictions. The r values for Cryptolestes ferrugineus (Stephens) and Tribolium castaneum (Herbst) were calculated by using a new suggested method (continuous time analysis) and data from the literature, and these calculated r values were compared to identify the r values and carrying capacities under real grain storage conditions and times. The insects were reared in small glass vials (0.3 kg wheat), small PVC columns (2 kg wheat), large PVC columns (14 kg wheat), and shallow containers (14 kg wheat or wheat + cracked wheat). The wheat or cracked wheat had 13.8 to 14.5% moisture contents at different constant temperatures (17.5 to 42.5 °C) and fluctuating temperatures. The r values at the beginning of the population were the highest. Before r became negative, it gradually decreased with increasing time. After the r value became negative, it sometimes increased to positive; however, the rebounded r was much less than the initial r and gradually tended to stabilize within an up-and-down range. This up-and-down r was related to the carrying capacity. The larger the grain bulk, the higher the innate rate was for both species. The r values associated with 14 kg of wheat could be used to predict the insect population dynamics in stored grain bins.