Abstract
BACKGROUND: Blood metabolites serve as pivotal indicators in identifying and predicting the course of rheumatoid arthritis (RA). However, empirical substantiation of a direct causal link between these serum biomarkers and the development of RA is still lacking comprehensive support. METHOD: In pursuit of a thorough exploration of the causal links between circulating blood metabolites and RA, we deployed a two-sample Mendelian randomization (MR) approach during our initial investigative phase. This method was utilized to examine the potential connections between 249 distinct circulating metabolites and the prevalence of RA. In the validation phase, we conducted replication analyses with a new metabolic dataset consisting of 123 metabolites. Furthermore, we employed the Mendelian randomization based on Bayesian model averaging (MR-BMA) technique to pinpoint key metabolic characteristics that have significant causal implications. RESULTS: In our primary analysis, we found that acetate, acetoacetate and pyruvate exhibited a consistent protective causal association with rheumatoid arthritis, while lactate demonstrated a positive correlation with rheumatoid arthritis risk. It is also noteworthy that a substantial subset of traits related to both saturated and unsaturated fatty acids showed causal influences. Subsequent secondary analyses substantiated these observations, revealing that traits associated with the average number of methylene groups in a fatty acid chain exhibited protective effects. Ultimately, our MR-BMA analyses unveiled that the ratio of polyunsaturated fatty acids (PUFAs) to total fatty acids assumes a paramount role in increasing the susceptibility to rheumatoid arthritis. CONCLUSIONS: By employing systemic MR analyses, our study has successfully generated an all-encompassing atlas elucidating the intricate connections between circulating metabolites and the susceptibility to rheumatoid arthritis. Our results indicate the high unsaturation degree is a dominant risk factors correlated with rheumatoid arthritis.