Conclusion
Anti-EPOR antibodies provide a promising biomarker, as with TNFR1, TNFR2, and BMP-7, in predicting kidney disease progression in people with type 2 diabetes mellitus.
Methods
In this nested case-control study from the ADVANCE trial cohort, we included 165 case participants who had the composite kidney outcome (renal replacement therapy, renal death, or doubling of serum creatinine to ≥200 μmol/l) and 330 matched controls. We compared the associations of baseline plasma levels of anti-EPOR antibodies, tumor necrosis factor receptor (TNFR)-1 and -2, and bone morphogenetic protein (BMP)-7 with kidney outcomes.
Results
Cases had higher baseline plasma levels of anti-EPOR antibodies than controls (median 1.7 vs. 0.6 enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay unit, P < 0.001). Higher levels of anti-EPOR antibodies were associated with an increased risk of kidney outcome (odds ratio 2.16 [95% confidence interval 1.51, 3.08], per 1 SD of log-transformed levels) after adjusting for conventional markers. Elevated circulating TNFR1 and TNFR2 levels, and lower BMP-7 levels at baseline, were associated with poor kidney outcome (odds ratios 2.06 [1.29, 3.30], 1.66 [1.13, 2.43], and 0.45 [0.32, 0.65], respectively). The addition of anti-EPOR antibodies into the model improved the prediction of kidney outcome, regardless of other biomarkers.