Abstract
A portion of individuals diagnosed with primary central nervous system lymphomas (PCNSL) may experience early relapse or refractory (R/R) disease following treatment. This research explored the potential of MRI-based radiomics in forecasting R/R cases in PCNSL. Forty-six patients with pathologically confirmed PCNSL diagnosed between January 2008 and December 2020 were included in this study. Only patients who underwent pretreatment brain MRIs and complete postoperative follow-up MRIs were included. Pretreatment contrast-enhanced T1WI, T2WI, and T2 FLAIR imaging were analyzed. A total of 107 radiomic features, including 14 shape-based, 18 first-order statistical, and 75 texture features, were extracted from each sequence. Predictive models were then built using five different machine learning algorithms to predict R/R in PCNSL. Of the included 46 PCNSL patients, 20 (20/46, 43.5%) patients were found to have R/R. In the R/R group, the median scores in predictive models such as support vector machine, k-nearest neighbors, linear discriminant analysis, naïve Bayes, and decision trees were significantly higher, while the apparent diffusion coefficient values were notably lower compared to those without R/R (p < 0.05). The support vector machine model exhibited the highest performance, achieving an overall prediction accuracy of 83%, a precision rate of 80%, and an AUC of 0.78. Additionally, when analyzing tumor progression, patients with elevated support vector machine and naïve Bayes scores demonstrated a significantly reduced progression-free survival (p < 0.05). These findings suggest that preoperative MRI-based radiomics may provide critical insights for treatment strategies in PCNSL.