Evaluation of the coupled coordination of digital village, green agriculture and farmers' well-being in China

中国数字乡村、绿色农业与农民福祉耦合协调性评价

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Abstract

Digital village, green agriculture, and farmers’ well-being are three subsystems of the current giant system of rural social development in China, and their coupled and coordinated development serves as a crucial prerequisite for promoting the comprehensive revitalization of China’s rural areas and the modernization of agriculture and rural areas. Drawing on the complex adaptive system theory, this paper establishes a coupling coordination degree analysis model for the digital village-green agriculture-farmers’ well-being system and develops an evaluation index system for these three subsystems. Based on panel data from 30 Chinese provinces spanning 2011 to 2021, this study constructs an evaluation index system for Digital Village, green agriculture, and farmers’ well-being. Employing the entropy weight method, coupling coordination degree model, convergence coefficient, Theil index, and Moran index, it analyzes the comprehensive development level of each system, along with the convergence effects, regional disparities, and spatial characteristics of their coupled and coordinated development. The findings indicate: (1) The comprehensive development level index values of the three subsystems are on the rise, and their coupling degree, coordination degree, and coupling coordination degree are generally improving, achieving a transformation from moderate imbalance to intermediate coordination. (2) The coordinated development of the coupling among the three systems exhibits clear convergence characteristics. (3) The coordinated development of coupling demonstrates significant regional disparities, with intra-regional differences being the primary source. Over time, the Yellow River Basin has contributed the most to overall disparities. (4) The coordinated development of the coupling among the three systems shows significant spatial autocorrelation, with increasing autocorrelation intensity. Notably, the lower reaches of the Yangtze River Economic Belt and the middle and lower reaches of the Yellow River Basin are high-value agglomeration areas for coupling coordinated development.

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