Abstract
Bladder urothelial carcinoma (BLCA) presents a persistent challenge in clinical management. Despite recent advancements demonstrating the BLCA efficacy of immune checkpoint inhibitors (ICI) in BLCA patients, there remains a critical need to identify and expand the subset of individuals who benefit from this treatment. Mitochondria, as pivotal regulators of various cell death pathways in eukaryotic cells, exert significant influence over tumor cell fate and survival. In this study, our objective was to investigate biomarkers centered around mitochondrial function and cell death mechanisms to facilitate prognostic prediction and guide therapeutic decision-making in BLCA. Utilizing ssGSEA and LASSO regression, we developed a prognostic signature termed mitochondrial function and cell death (mtPCD). Subsequently, we evaluated the associations between mtPCD score and diverse clinical outcomes, including prognosis, functional pathway enrichment, immune cell infiltration, immunotherapy response analysis and drug sensitivity, within high- and low-risk subgroups. Additionally, we employed single-cell level functional assays, RT-qPCR, and immunohistochemistry to validate the differential expression of genes comprising the mtPCD signature. The mtPCD signature comprises a panel of 10 highly influential genes, strongly correlated with survival outcomes in BLCA patients and exhibiting robust predictive capabilities. Importantly, individuals classified as high-risk according to mtPCD score displayed a subdued overall immune response, characterized by diminished immunotherapeutic efficacy. In summary, our findings highlight the development of a novel prognostic signature, which not only holds promise as a biomarker for BLCA prognosis but also offers insights into the immune landscape of BLCA. This paradigm may pave the way for personalized treatment strategies in BLCA management.