Global burden of myocarditis and cardiomyopathy in children and prediction for 2035 based on the global burden of disease study 2019

基于2019年全球疾病负担研究的儿童心肌炎和心肌病全球负担及2035年预测

阅读:2

Abstract

BACKGROUND: Myocarditis and cardiomyopathy are commonly occurring cardiovascular diseases that seriously threaten children's health. It was urgent to update the global incidence and mortality of childhood myocarditis and cardiomyopathy, and to predict the incidence rate of 2035 by the Global Burden of Disease database. METHODS: The Global Burden of Disease study data from 1990 to 2019 in 204 countries and territories were used to determine: global incidence and mortality rates of childhood myocarditis and cardiomyopathy from 0 to 19 by five age groups; relationship between sociodemographic index (SDI) and incidence and mortality rates by age group; and, based on an age-period-cohort model, the projected incidence of childhood myocarditis and cardiomyopathy for 2035. RESULTS: From 1990 to 2019, global age-standardized incidence rate decreased by 0.1% (95% UI 0.0-0.1) to 7.7% (95% UI 5.1-11.1). Boys had higher age-standardized incidence of childhood myocarditis and cardiomyopathy than girls [9.12, (95% UI 6.05-13.07) vs. 6.18, (95% UI 4.06-8.92)]. Childhood myocarditis and cardiomyopathy affected 121,259 (95% UI 80,467-173,790) boys and 77,216 (95% UI 50,684-111,535) girls in 2019. At the regional level, SDI changes in most areas showed no meaningful difference. In East Asia and high-income Asia Pacific, increased SDI was associated with decreased and increased incidence rate, respectively. In 2019, 11,755 (95% UI 9,611-14,509) children died from myocarditis and cardiomyopathy worldwide. Age-standardized mortality rate decreased significantly by 0.4% (95% UI 0.2-0.6)-0.5% (95% UI 0.4-0.6). Number of deaths from childhood myocarditis and cardiomyopathy in 2019 was highest in the <5-year-old group [7,442 (95% UI 5,834-9,699)]. Myocarditis and cardiomyopathy incidence in 10-14- and 15-19-year-olds is projected to increase by 2035. CONCLUSION: Global data on childhood myocarditis and cardiomyopathy from 1990 to 2019 showed a decreasing trend in incidence and mortality, and an increasing trend in older children, especially in high SDI regions.

特别声明

1、本页面内容包含部分的内容是基于公开信息的合理引用;引用内容仅为补充信息,不代表本站立场。

2、若认为本页面引用内容涉及侵权,请及时与本站联系,我们将第一时间处理。

3、其他媒体/个人如需使用本页面原创内容,需注明“来源:[生知库]”并获得授权;使用引用内容的,需自行联系原作者获得许可。

4、投稿及合作请联系:info@biocloudy.com。