Survival predictors in Vietnamese elderly AML patients treated with decitabine: Real-world evidence from a low- and middle-income country

越南老年急性髓系白血病患者接受地西他滨治疗的生存预测因素:来自中低收入国家的真实世界证据

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Abstract

BACKGROUND: Hypomethylating agents such as decitabine represent a key treatment option for elderly acute myeloid leukemia (AML) patients who are unfit for intensive chemotherapy. However, real-world evidence from low- and middle-income countries (LMICs), including Vietnam, remains scarce. This study aimed to identify baseline clinical and laboratory predictors of 1-year overall survival (OS) in elderly Vietnamese AML patients treated with decitabine. METHODS: This prospective, single-center, observational study was conducted at the National Institute of Hematology and Blood Transfusion, Vietnam, from April 2023 to June 2025. Seventy newly diagnosed AML patients aged ≥ 60 years received decitabine. The primary outcome was 1-year OS. Baseline demographic, clinical, hematologic, and immunophenotypic variables were analyzed using univariate and multivariate Cox regression. Treatment response was descriptively evaluated in patients completing ≥4 cycles. RESULTS: The 1-year OS rate was 38.6 %, with a median survival of 276.0 days. Elevated bone marrow cell count (HR: 1.003, p = 0.002), fibrinogen (HR: 1.22, p = 0.044), and urea (HR: 1.23, p = 0.001) were independently associated with increased mortality. CD64 positivity (HR: 0.29, p = 0.029) and urban residence (HR: 0.43, p = 0.014) were protective. Among 39 patients completing ≥4 cycles, 48.7 % achieved a complete response. No significant survival difference was observed between responders and non-responders. CONCLUSION: This first prospective real-world study in Vietnam identified accessible predictors of survival in elderly AML patients receiving decitabine. The findings may aid early risk stratification using simple baseline parameters in LMIC settings, where access to molecular diagnostics may be limited, and warrant multicenter validation.

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