Abstract
BACKGROUND: A 2021 National Institute for Neurological Disorders and Stroke (NINDS) consensus panel proposed a set of clinical diagnostic criteria for traumatic encephalopathy syndrome (TES) and determined provisional levels of certainty for chronic traumatic encephalopathy (CTE) pathology based on neuropathological evidence. The panel suggested the criteria needed to be validated by clinical studies of living populations exposed to repetitive head impacts (RHIs). HYPOTHESIS: As the consensus criteria were developed solely from neuropathologically diagnosed cases of CTE, we hypothesized that they may not be readily applicable to the clinical impressions developed from the histories and examination findings of living patients whose neuropathology was unknown. STUDY DESIGN: We applied the consensus criteria to 4 groups of living retired contact sports athletes collected from previously published articles in the medical literature. LEVEL OF EVIDENCE: Level 4. METHODS: Clinical evidence from 4 groups of living retired athletes (boxers and American football players) with extensive RHI exposure was available. We used the NINDS consensus criteria to determine for each athlete whether or not they met the criteria for TES. For those who met the criteria, we determined their provisional level of certainty for CTE pathology. RESULTS: Among all 80 subjects, the prevalence of TES was 21.3% (17 of 80), the prevalence of possible CTE was 12.5% (10 of 80), and the prevalence of probable CTE was 2.5% (2 of 80). Among the 45 retired football players, the prevalence of TES was 24.4% (11 of 45) and the prevalence of possible CTE was 17.7% (8 of 45). None of the retired football players met the criteria for probable CTE. Among the 35 total retired boxers (from all 3 groups), the prevalence of TES was 17.1% (6 of 35), the prevalence of possible CTE was 5.7% (2 of 35), and the prevalence of probable CTE was 5.7% (2 of 35). CONCLUSION: Applying the NINDS consensus criteria to this historical cohort of living retired athletes with extensive RHI exposure resulted in a relatively low prevalence of TES and possible/probable certainties of CTE pathology, which might suggest limitations on the sensitivity of the NINDS criteria. CLINICAL RELEVANCE: Physicians are often asked by retired contact sports athletes and their families to determine if their clinical picture is related to TES and/or CTE. Physicians may turn to the NINDS consensus criteria for guidance in making such determinations. The data presented here may assist physicians in evaluating the reliability and validity of using the consensus criteria in living subjects.