Abstract
BACKGROUND: Chlamydia trachomatis is the most common reportable infection in the United States and can cause pelvic inflammatory disease (PID) and tubal factor infertility (TFI). METHODS: We created life tables to estimate the "lifetime" risk of chlamydia diagnosis among women aged 15-34 years in King County, Washington, between 1992 and 2014. We estimated the lifetime risk of chlamydia-associated PID and TFI incorporating published estimates of the risk of sequelae. RESULTS: There were 51464 first chlamydia diagnoses in 1992-2014. For women born between 1980 and 1984, the lifetime risk of chlamydia diagnosis was 19.8% overall and 14.0% for non-Hispanic white, 64.9% for non-Hispanic black, and 32.6% for Hispanic women. The cumulative risk of chlamydia by age 24 increased overall from 13.9% to 17.3% among women born between 1975 and 1994 but declined among non-Hispanic black women, among whom risk by age 24 declined from 57.3% among women born between 1980 and 1984 to 38.6% among women born between 1990 and 1994. The lifetime risk of chlamydia-associated PID among women born between 1980 and 1984 ranged from 0.33% to 1.14%. Among non-Hispanic white, non-Hispanic black, and Hispanic women, the lifetime risk of chlamydia-associated TFI was 0.04%, 0.20%, and 0.10%, respectively. CONCLUSIONS: Over 60% of non-Hispanic black women had at least 1 chlamydia diagnosis by age 34 in the birth cohorts most affected, a risk almost 5 times that in non-Hispanic whites. An estimated 1 in 500 non-Hispanic black women develops chlamydia-associated TFI. More effective control measures are needed.