Abstract
BACKGROUND: Accurate estimation of conception is critical in the assessment of the effects of drugs used during pregnancy or to prevent pregnancy. In a novel application, we studied the effectiveness of oral contraceptives (OCs), where misclassification of conception relative to OC exposure may obscure effect estimates. METHODS: We studied OC failure, in a large claims database, among women who used antiepileptic drugs with metabolizing enzyme-inducing properties (carbamazepine or oxcarbazepine), which reduce OC's effectiveness or enzyme-neutral properties (lamotrigine or levetiracetam), with no expected impact on OC effectiveness. We compared conception rates in women 12-48 years of age concomitantly using OCs and enzyme-inducing drugs with rates in concomitant users of OCs and enzyme-neutral drugs. We measured conception with a validated algorithm that estimates gestational age based on pregnancy endpoints. We estimated relative and attributable risk using generalized estimating equation models after standardized mortality ratio weighting. RESULTS: We identified 89,777 concomitant use episodes with adjusted contraceptive failure rates of 1.6 (95% confidence interval (CI) = 1.4, 1.8) per 100 person-years among users of enzyme-neutral drugs and 18,964 episodes with a rate of 2.3 (1.9, 2.8) among users of enzyme-inducing drugs. The relative risk of conception for enzyme-inducing group was 1.4 (1.1, 1.8), and the rate difference was 0.7 (0.2, 1.2). CONCLUSIONS: OCs in combination with antiepileptic drugs that interact with metabolic enzymes were associated with increased contraceptive failure rates. Measurement of conception in claims data had adequate accuracy to uncover a strong drug-drug interaction, offering promise for broader application in comparative effectiveness studies on hormonal contraceptives to inform clinical and regulatory decisionmaking.