Abstract
INTRODUCTION: Intrauterine adhesions (IUAs) caused by endometrial injury, commonly occurring in developing countries, can lead to subfertility. This study aimed to develop and evaluate a DeepSurv architecture-based artificial intelligence (AI) system for predicting fertility outcomes after hysteroscopic adhesiolysis. METHODS: This diagnostic study included 555 intrauterine adhesions (IUAs) treated with hysteroscopic adhesiolysis with 4,922 second-look hysteroscopic images from a prospective clinical database (IUADB, NCT05381376) with a minimum of 2 years of follow-up. These patients were randomly divided into training, validation, and test groups for model development, tuning, and external validation. Four transfer learning models were built using the DeepSurv architecture and a code-free AI application for pregnancy prediction was also developed. The primary outcome was the model's ability to predict pregnancy within a year after adhesiolysis. Secondary outcomes were model performance which evaluated using time-dependent area under the curves (AUCs) and C-index, and ART benefits evaluated by hazard ratio (HR) among different risk groups. RESULTS: External validation revealed that using the DeepSurv architecture, InceptionV3+ DeepSurv, InceptionResNetV2+ DeepSurv, and ResNet50+ DeepSurv achieved AUCs of 0.94, 0.95, and 0.93, respectively, for one-year pregnancy prediction, outperforming other models and clinical score systems. A code-free AI application was developed to identify candidates for ART. Patients with lower natural conception probability indicated by the application had a higher ART benefit hazard ratio (HR) of 3.13 (95% CI: 1.22-8.02, p = 0.017). CONCLUSION: InceptionV3+ DeepSurv, InceptionResNetV2+ DeepSurv, and ResNet50+ DeepSurv show potential in predicting the fertility outcomes of IUAs after hysteroscopic adhesiolysis. The code-free AI application based on the DeepSurv architecture facilitates personalized therapy following hysteroscopic adhesiolysis.