Multimodal tumor microenvironment signature of colorectal cancer for prediction prognosis and chemotherapy benefit

结直肠癌多模态肿瘤微环境特征用于预测预后和化疗获益

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Abstract

The current tumor‒node‒metastasis (TNM) staging system cannot provide sufficient information for prognosis and chemotherapy benefits in patients with colorectal cancer (CRC). The tumor microenvironment plays a critical role in disease progression and therapeutic response. Here, we developed and validated a multimodal tumor microenvironment signature of CRC (MTMS(CRC)) using 1314 CRC patients to enhance prognosis and chemotherapy benefit predictions. We found that the MTMS(CRC) is an independent predictor of prognosis. Furthermore, incorporating the MTMS(CRC) and clinicopathological characteristics into the integrated nomograms significantly outperformed traditional models and the TNM staging system. Shapley values identified the MTMS(CRC) as the most important predictor. Moreover, chemotherapy had no impact on prognosis in nomogram-predicted low-risk score patients but was associated with improved prognosis in medium and high-risk score patients. In summary, the MTMS(CRC) is a valuable prognostic predictor in CRC patients and the integrated nomogram may help identify those who could benefit from chemotherapy.

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