A nomogram for predicting invasiveness of lung adenocarcinoma manifesting as pure ground-glass nodules: incorporating subjective CT signs and histogram parameters based on artificial intelligence

基于人工智能,结合主观CT征象和直方图参数,构建预测纯磨玻璃结节型肺腺癌侵袭性的列线图

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Abstract

PURPOSE: To construct a nomogram based on subjective CT signs and artificial intelligence (AI) histogram parameters to identify invasiveness of lung adenocarcinoma presenting as pure ground-glass nodules (pGGNs) and to evaluate its diagnostic performance. METHODS: 187 patients with 228 pGGNs confirmed by postoperative pathology were collected retrospectively and divided into pre-invasive group [atypical adenomatous hyperplasia (AAH) and adenocarcinoma in situ (AIS)] and invasive group [minimally invasive adenocarcinoma (MIA) and invasive adenocarcinoma (IAC)]. All pGGNs were randomly assigned to training cohort (n = 160) and validation cohort (n = 68). Nomogram was developed using subjective CT signs and AI-based histogram parameters by logistic regression analysis. The diagnostic performance was evaluated by receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve, calibration curve, and decision curve analysis (DCA) curve. RESULTS: The nomogram was constructed with nodule shape, 3D mean diameter, maximum CT value, and skewness. It showed better discriminative power in differentiating invasive lesions from pre-invasive lesions with area under curve (AUC) of 0.849 (95% CI 0.790-0.909) in the training cohort and 0.831 (95% CI 0.729-0.934) in the validation cohort, which performed better than nodule shape (AUC 0.675, 95% CI 0.609-0.741), 3D mean diameter (AUC 0.762, 95% CI 0.688-0.835), maximum CT value (AUC 0.794, 95% CI 0.727-0.862), or skewness (AUC 0.594, 95% CI 0.506-0.682) alone in training cohort (for all, P < 0.05). CONCLUSION: For pulmonary pGGNs, the nomogram based on subjective CT signs and AI histogram parameters had a good predictive ability to discriminate invasive lung adenocarcinoma from pre-invasive lung adenocarcinoma, and it has the potential to improve diagnostic efficiency and to help the patient management.

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