Abstract
BACKGROUND: Patients undergoing chemoradiation and immune checkpoint inhibitor (ICI) therapy for locally advanced non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC) experience pulmonary toxicity at higher rates than historical reports. Identifying biomarkers beyond conventional clinical factors and radiation dosimetry is especially relevant in the modern cancer immunotherapy era. We investigated the role of novel functional lung radiomics, relative to functional lung dosimetry and clinical characteristics, for pneumonitis risk stratification in locally advanced NSCLC. METHODS: Patients with locally advanced NSCLC were prospectively enrolled on the FLARE-RT trial (NCT02773238). All received concurrent chemoradiation using functional lung avoidance planning, while approximately half received consolidation durvalumab ICI. Within tumour-subtracted lung regions, 110 radiomics features (size, shape, intensity, texture) were extracted on pre-treatment [(99m)Tc]MAA SPECT/CT perfusion images using fixed-bin-width discretization. The performance of functional lung radiomics for pneumonitis (CTCAE v4 grade 2 or higher) risk stratification was benchmarked against previously reported lung dosimetric parameters and clinical risk factors. Multivariate least absolute shrinkage and selection operator Cox models of time-varying pneumonitis risk were constructed, and prediction performance was evaluated using optimism-adjusted concordance index (c-index) with 95% confidence interval reporting throughout. RESULTS: Thirty-nine patients were included in the study and pneumonitis occurred in 16/39 (41%) patients. Among clinical characteristics and anatomic/functional lung dosimetry variables, only the presence of baseline chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) was significantly associated with the development of pneumonitis (HR 4.59 [1.69-12.49]) and served as the primary prediction benchmark model (c-index 0.69 [0.59-0.80]). Discrimination of time-varying pneumonitis risk was numerically higher when combining COPD with perfused lung radiomics size (c-index 0.77 [0.65-0.88]) or shape feature classes (c-index 0.79 [0.66-0.91]) but did not reach statistical significance compared to benchmark models (p > 0.26). COPD was associated with perfused lung radiomics size features, including patients with larger lung volumes (AUC 0.75 [0.59-0.91]). Perfused lung radiomic texture features were correlated with lung volume (adj R(2) = 0.84-1.00), representing surrogates rather than independent predictors of pneumonitis risk. CONCLUSIONS: In patients undergoing chemoradiation with functional lung avoidance therapy and optional consolidative immune checkpoint inhibitor therapy for locally advanced NSCLC, the strongest predictor of pneumonitis was the presence of baseline chronic obstructive pulmonary disease. Results from this novel functional lung radiomics exploratory study can inform future validation studies to refine pneumonitis risk models following combinations of radiation and immunotherapy. Our results support functional lung radiomics as surrogates of COPD for non-invasive monitoring during and after treatment. Further study of clinical, dosimetric, and radiomic feature combinations for radiation and immune-mediated pneumonitis risk stratification in a larger patient population is warranted.