Improving PM(2.5) prediction in New Delhi using a hybrid extreme learning machine coupled with snake optimization algorithm

利用混合极限学习机结合蛇形优化算法改进新德里 PM2.5 预测

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Abstract

Fine particulate matter (PM(2.5)) is a significant air pollutant that drives the most chronic health problems and premature mortality in big metropolitans such as Delhi. In such a context, accurate prediction of PM(2.5) concentration is critical for raising public awareness, allowing sensitive populations to plan ahead, and providing governments with information for public health alerts. This study applies a novel hybridization of extreme learning machine (ELM) with a snake optimization algorithm called the ELM-SO model to forecast PM(2.5) concentrations. The model has been developed on air quality inputs and meteorological parameters. Furthermore, the ELM-SO hybrid model is compared with individual machine learning models, such as Support Vector Regression (SVR), Random Forest (RF), Extreme Learning Machines (ELM), Gradient Boosting Regressor (GBR), XGBoost, and a deep learning model known as Long Short-Term Memory networks (LSTM), in forecasting PM(2.5) concentrations. The study results suggested that ELM-SO exhibited the highest level of predictive performance among the five models, with a testing value of squared correlation coefficient (R(2)) of 0.928, and root mean square error of 30.325 µg/m(3). The study's findings suggest that the ELM-SO technique is a valuable tool for accurately forecasting PM(2.5) concentrations and could help advance the field of air quality forecasting. By developing state-of-the-art air pollution prediction models that incorporate ELM-SO, it may be possible to understand better and anticipate the effects of air pollution on human health and the environment.

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