Abstract
BACKGROUND AND AIMS: Exposure to prenatal distress is associated with a risk of developing difficult temperament in infants, an indicator for a higher likelihood of later adverse developmental outcomes, including behavioral and mental health problems. The underlying biological mechanisms of this association are still unclear, but many support the idea of fetal programming, which postulates the influence of environmental factors on the fetus during pregnancy. Evidence points to the role of cortisol as a mediator of stress, but the results are inconsistent. In this systematic review and meta-analysis, the association between prenatal distress and difficult infant temperament will be assessed, focusing on cortisol exposure as a possible mediator and including subgroup analyses. METHODS: Literature research will be performed in PubMed, Web of Science, MEDLINE, PSYNDEX, APA PsycArticles, APA PsycInfo, and CINAHL. Inclusion criteria are the availability of (self-) assessment of maternal prenatal distress, maternal prenatal cortisol levels, and (parental) assessment of difficult infant temperament up to the age of 2 years. Screening and selection of peer-reviewed English (or German) articles and assessment of article quality will be done by two independent reviewers, with a third one included in the case of disagreement. Effect sizes will be extracted and subgroup analyses will be performed not only for covariables but also for the methods of assessing prenatal distress, cortisol, and temperament. This protocol follows the PRISMA-P checklist. CONCLUSION: This systematic review and meta-analysis will contribute to the ongoing discussion of whether and how cortisol mediates the association between prenatal maternal distress and difficult infant temperament. Identifying sensitive subgroups is an integral part of this study, as results might guide further research to vulnerable population groups.