Integration of multi-scale radiomics and deep learning for Ki-67 prediction in clear cell renal carcinoma

整合多尺度放射组学和深度学习预测透明细胞肾细胞癌中的Ki-67

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Abstract

High Ki-67 expression in clear cell renal cell carcinoma (ccRCC) predicts poor prognosis but requires postoperative assessment. In a multicenter retrospective study of 627 ccRCC patients, we developed and validated a multi-modal model, integrating multi-scale radiomics and deep learning (DL) features, for non-invasive, preoperative Ki-67 prediction. Using ensemble machine learning algorithms, unimodal models were constructed from preoperative CT-derived multi-scale radiomics (intratumoral, habitat, peritumoral), 2D/3D DL, and clinical features. A stacking strategy was used to fuse the best-performing unimodal models. The fusion model demonstrated superior performance, achieving an Area Under the Curve (AUC) of 0.756 (95% CI 0.692-0.821) in the external test set. The model demonstrated excellent calibration and the highest clinical net benefit, with habitat radiomics identified as the dominant predictive component via SHAP analysis. Our validated multi-modal model significantly improves the preoperative prediction of Ki-67 expression compared to unimodal approaches, offering a promising tool to guide individualized surgical and surveillance strategies.

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