Abstract
IntroductionStratifying the risk of recurrence for surgically treated papillary renal cell carcinoma (pRCC) could be challenging. Prognostic models are crucial for patient counselling and individualized surveillance. The GRANT score is one of the models suggested by guidelines to predict prognosis of surgically treated pRCC. This study aims to externally validate the GRANT score using a three-risk group stratification in a large cohort of pRCC patients.Materials and MethodsThe present analysis utilized retrospective data from pRCC patients who underwent radical or partial nephrectomy. The GRANT score parameters included tumor grade, age, pathological T-stage, and N-stage. Patients were stratified into three risk groups (0-1 vs 2 vs 3-4 risk factors). Cancer-specific survival (CSS) was assessed using the Kaplan-Meier method, and differences between groups were evaluated using the log-rank test. Harrell's c-index was used to measure model accuracy, and restricted mean survival time (RMST) was calculated for up to 120 months.ResultsA total of 1942 patients were included. The median follow-up was 64.6 months. At 60 months, CSS was 93.2% (95%CI 91.7%-94.6%) for group 1, 60.8% (95%CI 54.0%-78.6%) for group 2, and 26% (95%CI 15.7%-42.9%) for group 3, with significant differences between each group (p < 0.001). The median CSS was not reached for group 1 (95%CI NR-NR), 86.0 months in group 2 (95%CI 65-NR), and 22.8 months in group 3 (95%CI 16.4-48.0). The c-index for CSS was 0.732. The RMST at 120 months was 113.3 months for group 1, 75.9 months for group 2, and 56.6 months for group 3, with a statistically significant difference (p < 0.001).ConclusionThe GRANT score effectively stratified surgically treated pRCC patients into three risk groups, demonstrating good prognostic accuracy. This validation supports the GRANT score's utility as a reliable and easy-to-use prognostic tool.