Abstract
INTRODUCTION: Persistent symptoms after COVID-19 infection ("long COVID") negatively affects almost half of COVID-19 survivors. Despite its prevalence, its pathophysiology is poorly understood, with multiple host systems likely affected. Here, we followed patients from hospital to discharge and used a systems-biology approach to identify mechanisms of long COVID. METHODS: RNA-seq was performed on whole blood collected early in hospital and 4-12 weeks after discharge from 24 adult COVID-19 patients (10 reported post-COVID symptoms after discharge). Differential gene expression analysis, pathway enrichment, and machine learning methods were used to identify underlying mechanisms for post-COVID symptom development. RESULTS: Compared to patients with post-COVID symptoms, patients without post-COVID symptoms had larger temporal gene expression changes associated with downregulation of inflammatory and coagulation genes over time. Patients could also be separated into three patient endotypes with differing mechanistic trajectories, which was validated in another published patient cohort. The "Resolved" endotype (lowest rate of post-COVID symptoms) had robust inflammatory and hemostatic responses in hospital that resolved after discharge. Conversely, the inflammatory/hemostatic responses of "Suppressive" and "Unresolved" endotypes (higher rates of patients with post-COVID symptoms) were persistently dampened and activated, respectively. These endotypes were accurately defined by specific blood gene expression signatures (6-7 genes) for potential clinical stratification. DISCUSSION: This study allowed analysis of long COVID whole blood transcriptomics trajectories while accounting for the issue of patient heterogeneity. Two of the three identified and externally validated endotypes ("Unresolved" and "Suppressive") were associated with higher rates of post-COVID symptoms and either persistently activated or suppressed inflammation and coagulation processes. Gene biomarkers in blood could potentially be used clinically to stratify patients into different endotypes, paving the way for personalized long COVID treatment.