Abstract
OBJECTIVES: The purpose of this study is to identify clinical and radiographic factors that predict return to sport in high-level athletes and to determine thresholds for significant predictors. METHODS: Data were reviewed on all patients who underwent primary hip arthroscopy between November 2008 and August 2018. Patients were included if they played professional, college, or high school sports within 1 year before surgery and had preoperative, 3-month, 1-year, and 2-year postoperative patient reported outcome (PRO) scores for modified Harris Hip Score (mHHS), Hip Outcome Score-Sport Specific-Subscale (HOS-SSS), and Non-Arthritic Hip Score (NAHS). Patients were divided into groups based on whether they returned to sport (RTS). Multivariate logistic regression and receiver operator characteristic (ROC) analysis were used to evaluate the correlation between significant variables and RTS. RESULTS: A total of 136 patients with a mean age of 20.8 ± 7.07 years were included. Competition level, postoperative alpha angle, change in alpha angle, and postoperative PROs were significantly different between groups. The multivariate logistic regression model identified postoperative alpha angle as a statistically significant predictor of return to sport [P < .001, S > 9.97 (OR 0.85, CI 0.79-0.91)]. The ROC curve for postoperative alpha angle demonstrated acceptable discrimination between patients returning to sport and patients not returning to sport with an area under the curve of 0.71 and a threshold value of 46˚. Athletes with a postoperative alpha angle ≤ 46˚ returned to sport at a rate of 71.2%, while those with a postoperative alpha angle > 46˚ returned to sport at a rate of 28.1% [(P < .001, S > 9.97 (OR 6.3, CI 2.6-15.2)] CONCLUSIONS: Postoperative alpha angle was identified as a predictor of return to sport in high-level athletes. The odds of returning to sport were 6.3 times greater in athletes with postoperative alpha angles ≤ 46˚ compared to athletes with angles > 46˚.