Abstract
BACKGROUND: Neoadjuvant immunochemotherapy (NICT) plus esophagectomy has emerged as a promising treatment option for locally advanced esophageal squamous cell carcinoma (LA-ESCC). Pathologic complete response (pCR) is a key indicator associated with great efficacy and overall survival (OS). However, there are insufficient indicators for the reliable assessment of pCR. METHODS: 192 patients with LA-ESCC treated with NICT from December 2019 to October 2023 were recruited. According to pCR status, patients were categorized into pCR group (22.92%) and non-pCR group (77.08%). Radiological features of pretreatment and preoperative CT images were extracted. Logistic and COX regressions were trained to predict pathological response and prognosis, respectively. RESULTS: Four of the selected radiological features were combined to construct an ESCC preoperative imaging score (ECPI-Score). Logistic models revealed independent associations of ECPI-Score and vascular sign with pCR, with AUC of 0.918 in the training set and 0.862 in the validation set, respectively. After grouping by ECPI-Score, a higher proportion of pCR was observed among the high-ECPI group and negative vascular sign. Kaplan Meier analysis demonstrated that recurrence-free survival (RFS) with negative vascular sign was significantly better than those with positive (P = 0.038), but not for OS (P = 0.310). CONCLUSIONS: This study demonstrates dynamic radiological features are independent predictors of pCR for LA-ESCC treated with NICT. It will guide clinicians to make accurate treatment plans.