Cost-effectiveness analysis of sugemalimab plus chemotherapy for the first-line treatment of advanced gastric cancer or gastroesophageal junction cancer

舒格利单抗联合化疗一线治疗晚期胃癌或胃食管交界处癌的成本效益分析

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Abstract

The GEMSTONE-303 trial demonstrated the significant efficacy and safety of sugemalimab plus chemotherapy (S + C) as first-line treatment for patients with advanced gastric cancer (GC) or gastroesophageal junction cancer (GEJC). To evaluate the cost-effectiveness of S + C for advanced GC/GEJC from the perspective of the Chinese healthcare system. A partitioned survival model with a 3-week cycle was created to evaluate the cost-effectiveness of S + C compared to placebo plus chemotherapy (P + C) as the first-line treatment for advanced GC/GEJC. Total costs, quality-adjusted life years (QALYs), and incremental cost-effectiveness ratios (ICERs) as the primary outputs. Sensitivity analyses were performed to evaluate the uncertainty and stability of model parameters. Additionally, subgroup and scenario analyses were conducted. The base-case analysis revealed that the total costs of S + C ($89,510.52) was $49,907.43 higher than that P + C ($39,603.10). However, it also increased the QALYs by 0.29 (1.27 QALYs vs. 0.98 QALYs), with an ICER of $170,440.21/QALY, which was higher than the willingness-to-pay of $40,334.05/QALY. Sensitivity analyses demonstrated that the cost of sugemalimab, utility of progression-free survival and the discount rate had a greater impact on the model. Subgroup analyses indicated that S + C was more cost-effective in patients with advanced GC/GEJC with programmed cell death ligand 1 combined positive score ≥10. Compared to P + C, S + C is currently not an economically viable option for first-line treatment of advanced GC/GEJC in China.

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