Interactive Effects of Ambient Ozone and Meteorological Factors on Cerebral Infarction: A Five-Year Time-Series Study

环境臭氧和气象因素对脑梗死的交互作用:一项为期五年的时间序列研究

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Abstract

Objective: Our objective was to investigate the short-term effects of ambient ozone (O(3)) meteorological factors and their interactions on hospitalizations for cerebral infarction in Zhengzhou, China. Methods: Daily data on air pollutants, meteorological factors, and hospitalization of cerebral infarction patients were collected from 1 January 2019 to 31 December 2023 in Zhengzhou, China. A generalized additive model was constructed to evaluate the association between ambient O(3) levels and hospitalization for cerebral infarction. A distributed lag non-linear model was applied to capture lagged and non-linear exposure effects. We further examined the modifying roles of temperature, humidity, wind speed, and atmospheric pressure, and conducted stratified analyses by sex, age, and season. Results: O(3) exposure was significantly associated with increased cerebral infarction risk, particularly during the warm season. A bimodal temperature-lag pattern was observed, as follows: moderate temperatures (10-20 °C) were associated with immediate effects, while cold (<10 °C) and hot (>30 °C) temperatures were linked to delayed risks. The association of O(3) and hospitalizations for cerebral infarction appeared stronger under high humidity, low wind speed, and low atmospheric pressure. Conclusions: Short-term O(3) exposure and adverse meteorological conditions are jointly associated with an elevated risk of cerebral infarction. Integrated air quality and weather-based warning systems are essential for targeted stroke prevention.

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