Abstract
BACKGROUND: Myocardial strain using cardiac magnetic resonance (CMR) is a sensitive marker for predicting adverse outcomes in many cardiac disease states, but the prognostic value in the general population has not been studied conclusively. OBJECTIVES: The goal of this study was to assess the independent prognostic value of CMR feature tracking (FT)-derived LV global longitudinal (GLS), circumferential (GCS), and radial strain (GRS) metrics in predicting adverse outcomes (heart failure, myocardial infarction, stroke, and death). METHODS: Participants from the UK Biobank population imaging study were included. Univariable and multivariable Cox models were used for each outcome and each strain marker (GLS, GCS, GRS) separately. The multivariable models were tested with adjustment for prognostically important clinical features and conventional global LV imaging markers relevant for each outcome. RESULTS: Overall, 45,700 participants were included in the study (average age 65 ± 8 years), with a median follow-up period of 3 years. All univariable and multivariable models demonstrated that lower absolute GLS, GCS, and GRS were associated with increased incidence of heart failure, myocardial infarction, stroke, and death. All strain markers were independent predictors (incrementally above some respective conventional LV imaging markers) for the morbidity outcomes, but only GLS predicted death independently: (HR: 1.18; 95% CI: 1.07-1.30). CONCLUSIONS: In the general population, LV strain metrics derived using CMR-FT in radial, circumferential, and longitudinal directions are strongly and independently predictive of heart failure, myocardial infarction, and stroke, but only GLS is independently predictive of death in an adult population cohort.