Abstract
Objectives: This study aims to assess the clinical efficacy of micro-fragmented adipose tissue (MFAT) therapy over three years in patients with KOA and to determine whether short-term improvements at three months can forecast long-term outcomes. Methods: A retrospective, observational study was conducted on 335 patients diagnosed with KOA who received a single MFAT injection. The patients were followed up at 3 months, 6 months, 1 year, 2 years, and 3 years, with assessments using the Visual Analog Scale (VAS), Oxford Knee Score (OKS), Western Ontario and McMaster Universities Osteoarthritis Index (WOMAC), and Knee Injury and Osteoarthritis Outcome Score (KOOS). Statistical analysis was performed to assess the differences in preoperative and postoperative scores (VAS, OKS, WOMAC, KOOS) to evaluate the predictive role of 3-month score changes on long-term clinical outcomes. Results: All measured scores (VAS, OKS, WOMAC, KOOS) showed significant improvement at 3 months, with sustained improvements through 3 years (p < 0.001). Early score changes at 3 months were significantly associated with improved clinical outcomes at 1, 2, and 3 years (p < 0.05). Logistic regression confirmed early post-treatment improvements as independent predictors of long-term benefit, except for the VAS score at 3 years (p = 0.098). A comparative analysis between completers and dropouts showed no baseline differences; however, significant outcome differences emerged at later follow-up points. Due to insufficient data at the 3-year mark among dropouts, statistical comparisons were not possible for that time point. Conclusions: MFAT treatment was associated with consistent symptomatic improvement in patients with KOA, and early clinical response at 3 months served as a reliable predictor of long-term pain and function outcomes. While this study focused on patient-reported symptom relief and not structural regeneration, the results support MFAT as a minimally invasive option for symptom management. Early post-treatment response may serve as a useful tool for clinicians to predict long-term therapeutic success and personalize treatment strategies for KOA patients.