Hospitalization Predictors in Acute Exacerbation of Chronic Obstructive Pulmonary Disease: A Post Hoc Study of a Multicentric Retrospective Analysis

慢性阻塞性肺疾病急性加重期住院预测因素:一项多中心回顾性分析的事后研究

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Abstract

Background/Objectives: Hospitalizations for acute exacerbations in patients with chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (AECOPD) are connected with considerable mortality and morbidity and have a great impact on healthcare costs. We aimed to identify potentially important characteristics that distinguish patients with AECOPD that required hospitalization between those that did not. Methods: We performed a post hoc study of a previously conducted observational study assessing the discharge records of AECOPD patients who were either hospitalized or discharged directly from the emergency department (ED). Results: A total of N = 593 AECOPD patients (37.4% female) were included: N = 225 (37.9%) were hospitalized, while 368 (62.1%) were discharged from the ED. Patients had a mean age of 71 (±9.14) years. Further, 64.7% had arterial hypertension, and 60.4% of hospitalized and 42.1% of discharged patients had cardiovascular disease (excluding hypertension) (p < 0.001). In addition, 24% of hospitalized patients suffered from diabetes mellitus (vs. 16.8% of those discharged, p = 0.042). Patients that were discharged had a higher median eosinophil count than hospitalized patients (p < 0.001). Among the 368 patients discharged from the ED, 23.6% visited the ED due to AECOPD, and 50.6% were hospitalized in the subsequent three months. Patients that had at least one AECOPD in the subsequent three months had significantly lower initial eosinophil counts than those that did not (p = 0.015). Conclusions: Hospitalized AECOPD patients had a higher prevalence of pre-existing cardiovascular disease, diabetes mellitus and lower blood eosinophil counts. Patients that had subsequently visited ED in the following three months initially had lower blood eosinophil counts than those that did not make subsequent visits.

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