Abstract
BACKGROUND: Among individuals diagnosed with type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM), an abnormal accumulation of visceral fat heightens the cardiovascular risk (CVR), and the major reason for death for these people is atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease (ASCVD). This study aimed to gain further insights into the longitudinal relationship between CVR and visceral fat area (VFA) in patients with T2DM, and to compare the predictive performance of additional abdominal obesity measures and VFA for changes in CVR. METHODS: This prospective cohort study included 316 patients with T2DM who were followed up for more than one year, and VFA was measured by the bioimpedance method. This study investigated the prospective association between a VFA percentage change (∆VFA, %) and CVR, and evaluated the potential nonlinear relationships between ∆VFA (%) and the increase 10-year ASCVD risk. Furthermore, the area under the pooled curve (AUC) was contrasted for both ∆VFA (%) and other abdominal obesity indices. RESULTS: The excessive VFA loss group showed lower low-density lipoprotein cholesterol (LDL-C), non-high-density lipoprotein cholesterol (non-HDL-C), total cholesterol (TC), triglyceride-glucose index, LDL-C/HDL-C, brachial-ankle pulse wave velocity, 10-year ASCVD risk, atherogenic index of plasma, TC/HDL-C, and apolipoproteins B/apolipoproteins A-1 than the VFA gain group (all β [Formula: see text] 0, HR [Formula: see text] 1, all P [Formula: see text] 0.05) after covariate controlling. VFA reduction of more than 14.82% led to a reduction in the stated risk. Moreover, ∆VFA (%) demonstrated superior predictive value for changes in ASCVD risk, with an AUC of 0.585 (95% CI: 0.513-0.656), compared to other obesity indices. CONCLUSIONS: Excessive VFA reduction improved 10-year ASCVD risk in patients diagnosed with T2DM. VFA was a more effective predictor of 10-year ASCVD risk changes than other abdominal obesity measures. TRIAL REGISTRATION: This investigation has been registered with the Chinese Clinical Trial Registry (ChiCTR2400086569).