Effect of Long-Term Fine Particulate Matter Exposure on Lung Cancer Incidence and Mortality in Chinese Nonsmokers

长期暴露于细颗粒物对中国非吸烟者肺癌发病率和死亡率的影响

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Abstract

Rationale: The association between fine particulate matter (particulate matter ⩽2.5 μm in aerodynamic diameter, PM(2.5)) and lung cancer incidence in nonsmokers (LCINS) remains inconsistent. Objectives: To investigate the association between long-term PM(2.5) exposure and LCINS in a Chinese population and to assess the modifying effect of genetic factors. Methods: Time-dependent Cox proportional hazard models were used to evaluate the hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) of PM(2.5) with LCINS risk and LCINS-related mortality. The polygenic risk score was constructed to further explore the interactions between genetic risk and PM(2.5) exposure. In addition, the population attributable fraction of PM(2.5) to lung cancer risk and mortality was calculated. Measurements and Main Results: The results demonstrated significant associations between PM(2.5) exposure and LCINS incidence (HR, 1.10 per 10 μg/m(3); 95% CI, 1.04-1.17 per 10 μg/m(3)) and mortality (HR, 1.17 per 10 μg/m(3); 95% CI, 1.08-1.27 per 10 μg/m(3)). Compared with the lowest-risk group, individuals exposed to the high PM(2.5) concentration (⩾50.9 μg/m(3)) and high genetic risk (top 30%) exhibited the highest LCINS incidence (HR, 2.01; 95% CI, 1.39-2.87) and mortality (HR, 2.30; 95% CI, 1.38-3.82). A significant additive interaction between PM(2.5) and genetic risk on LCINS incidence was observed. Approximately 33.6% of LCINS cases and 48.5% of LCINS-related deaths in China could be prevented if PM(2.5) concentrations were reduced to meet World Health Organization guidelines. Conclusions: Long-term exposure to outdoor PM(2.5) increases LCINS risk and LCINS-related mortality, especially in populations with high genetic risk. Strengthening air pollution control measures in China has the potential to significantly reduce the burden of LCINS.

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