The spatial and contextual exposome and subtypes of hypertensive disorders of pregnancy: a double machine learning-based analysis

妊娠期高血压疾病的空间和环境暴露组及亚型:基于双重机器学习的分析

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Abstract

Hypertensive disorders of pregnancy (HDP) are a leading cause of maternal and perinatal morbidity, yet modifiable environmental risk factors remain poorly characterized. Prior studies typically have only examined a limited number of exposures and have rarely distinguished HDP subtypes (ie, gestational hypertension, preeclampsia, eclampsia, and chronic hypertension with or without superimposed preeclampsia) or accounted for residential mobility during pregnancy. To address these gaps, we conducted a spatial and contextual exposome study of HDP using linked electronic health records (EHR) and vital statistics data in Florida. We analyzed 686 412 singleton pregnancies conceived between 2013 and 2018, using computable phenotyping to distinguish HDP subtypes. A total of 245 spatial and contextual exposome measures spanning natural, built, and social environments were linked to residential histories from conception through gestational week 19. Using a two-phase double machine learning (DML) framework with exposure-specific, directed acyclic graph-guided confounder adjustment, we conducted discovery and replication analyses, followed by multi-treatment DML to estimate effect sizes. In Phase 1, 26 exposome measures replicated for gestational hypertension and 34 for overall HDP. In Phase 2, 12 measures remained associated with gestational hypertension and 11 with overall HDP, including air toxicants, meteorological factors, ultraviolet radiation, neighborhood crime indicators, environmental noise, and proximity to coastline. No exposures passed multiple-comparison thresholds for preeclampsia or eclampsia. These findings demonstrate that the spatial and contextual exposome contributes to HDP in a subtype-specific manner. Integrating EHR-linked phenotyping, residential mobility, and causal machine-learning methods offers a scalable framework for identifying environmental factors relevant to HDP prevention.

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