Trends and characteristics of hospitalisation and mortality among centenarians in old-age homes and communities: a territory-wide study in Hong Kong, 2012-2021

香港2012-2021年全港范围内的养老院和养老社区百岁老人住院和死亡趋势及特征研究

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Abstract

OBJECTIVE: To examine the trends and characteristics of hospitalisation and mortality among centenarians residing in old-age homes (OAHs) and their community-dwelling counterparts in Hong Kong over the past decade. METHODS: This retrospective analysis used electronic admission records of all centenarians (aged ≥100 years) admitted to public hospitals in Hong Kong between 2012 and 2021. Centenarians were categorised based on living arrangements at initial admission: OAHs or community dwellings. Trends in hospitalisation rates, mortality and length of stay (LOS) were assessed using the Mann-Kendall test. All-cause readmission and mortality risks at 7, 30, 90, 180 and 365-day postdischarge were compared using logistic and Cox regressions with a random hospital-specific effect. RESULTS: The study analysed 41 221 episodes involving 8360 centenarians, with 4739 (56.7%) from OAHs. The crude hospitalisation rate decreased from 626 in 2012 to 169 per 1000 population in 2021, while total hospitalisations rose by 69.7% (from 3039 to 5156 episodes). Crude mortality rates fell from 239 to 80 per 1000 population, but total deaths increased by 123% (from 418 to 932 persons). Total LOS increased by 85% (from 22 548 to 41 760 days), although average LOS per episode remained stable. In-hospital mortality rates increased significantly for OAH residents (from 42% to 50%) and community-dwelling centenarians (from 29% to 58%). Centenarians in OAHs exhibited longer stays, more frequent admissions and higher mortality from respiratory diseases, alongside increased long-term readmission and mortality risks at 180 and 365-day postdischarge. CONCLUSIONS: The past decade observed a substantial increase in hospitalisations and mortality among Hong Kong centenarians. Those residing in OAHs were associated with a more complex clinical profile, including longer LOS, more frequent admissions and higher long-term risks of readmission and mortality. These findings underscore the need for specialised care models tailored to the unique vulnerabilities of this growing demographic, particularly in institutional settings.

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