Predictive factors of adolescents' happiness: a random forest analysis of the 2023 Korea Youth Risk Behavior Survey

影响青少年幸福感的预测因素:基于2023年韩国青少年风险行为调查的随机森林分析

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Abstract

PURPOSE: This study aimed to identify predictive factors affecting adolescents' subjective happiness using data from the 2023 Korea Youth Risk Behavior Survey. A random forest model was applied to determine the strongest predictive factors, and its predictive performance was compared with traditional regression models. METHODS: Responses from a total of 44,320 students from grades 7 to 12 were analyzed. Data pre-processing involved handling missing values and selecting variables to construct an optimal dataset. The random forest model was employed for prediction, and SHAP (Shapley Additive Explanations) analysis was used to assess variable importance. RESULTS: The random forest model demonstrated a stable predictive performance, with an R2 of .37. Mental and physical health factors were found to significantly affect subjective happiness. Adolescents' subjective happiness was most strongly influenced by perceived stress, perceived health, experiences of loneliness, generalized anxiety disorder, suicidal ideation, economic status, fatigue recovery from sleep, and academic performance. CONCLUSION: This study highlights the utility of machine learning in identifying factors influencing adolescents' subjective happiness, addressing limitations of traditional regression approaches. These findings underscore the need for multidimensional interventions to improve mental and physical health, reduce stress and loneliness, and provide integrated support from schools and communities to enhance adolescents' subjective happiness.

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