Timing is survival: modeling how earlier calls improve cardiac arrest outcomes

时机决定生死:模拟早期呼叫如何改善心脏骤停预后

阅读:1

Abstract

INTRODUCTION: Survival after out-of-hospital cardiac arrest decreases by 5%-12% for every minute of delay in treatment. Ambulance response times vary widely across Norway, particularly between urban and rural municipalities. Advances in digital health technologies may encourage earlier patient contact with emergency services, potentially mitigating these delays. METHODS: We analyzed official response time data from four Norwegian municipalities representing diverse geographic contexts (Bergen, Tokke, Lurøy, Sørfold). Using a survival decay function (Equation), we simulated changes in survival probability under scenarios where emergency calls were placed 1, 5, or 10 min earlier than observed. RESULTS: Baseline survival probabilities varied substantially across municipalities, from 47.7% in Bergen (mean response 10.2 min) to 9.3% in Lurøy (32.8 min). Simulated earlier calls produced marked gains: in Bergen, survival increased from 47.7% to 68.6% with a five-minute advance; in Sørfold, from 19.4% to 27.9%; and in Tokke, from 29.9% to 43.1%. Even modest improvements (1-2 min) yielded meaningful survival benefits. CONCLUSIONS: Geographic disparities in emergency response times strongly influence survival after cardiac arrest. Wearables and AI-based monitoring cannot predict cardiac arrest but may promote earlier recognition of abnormal physiological states and timelier emergency calls. If widely adopted, such technologies could provide substantial survival gains, particularly in rural and remote regions.

特别声明

1、本页面内容包含部分的内容是基于公开信息的合理引用;引用内容仅为补充信息,不代表本站立场。

2、若认为本页面引用内容涉及侵权,请及时与本站联系,我们将第一时间处理。

3、其他媒体/个人如需使用本页面原创内容,需注明“来源:[生知库]”并获得授权;使用引用内容的,需自行联系原作者获得许可。

4、投稿及合作请联系:info@biocloudy.com。