Abstract
The aim of this study is to identify clinically relevant image feature (IF) changes during chemoradiation and evaluate their efficacy in predicting treatment response. Patients with non-small-cell lung cancer (NSCLC) were enrolled in two prospective trials (STRIPE, PET-Plan). We evaluated 48 patients who underwent static (3D) and retrospectively-respiratory-gated 4D PET/CT scans before treatment and a 3D scan during or after treatment. Our proposed method rejects IF changes due to intrinsic variability. The IF variability observed across 4D PET is employed as a patient individualized normalization factor to emphasize statistically relevant IF changes during treatment. Predictions of overall survival (OS), local recurrence (LR) and distant metastasis (DM) were evaluated. From 135 IFs, only 17 satisfied the required criteria of being normally distributed across 4D PET and robust between 3D and 4D images. Changes during treatment in the area-under-the-curve of the cumulative standard-uptake-value histogram (δ(AUC(CSH))) within primary tumor discriminated (AUC = 0.87, Specificity = 0.78) patients with and without LR. The resulted prognostic model was validated with a different segmentation method (AUC = 0.83) and in a different patient cohort (AUC = 0.63). The quantification of tumor FDG heterogeneity by δ(AUC(CSH)) during chemoradiation correlated with the incidence of local recurrence and might be recommended for monitoring treatment response in patients with NSCLC.