Abstract
Immunotherapy is a potential way to save the lives of patients with bladder cancer, but it only benefits approximately 20% of them. A total of 4,028 bladder cancer patients were collected for this study. Unsupervised non-negative matrix factorization and the nearest template prediction algorithms were employed for the classification. We identified the immune and non-immune classes from The Cancer Genome Atlas Bladder Urothelial Carcinoma (TCGA-BLCA) training cohort. The 150 most differentially expressed genes between these two classes were extracted, and the classification reappeared in 20 validation cohorts. For the activated and exhausted subgroups, a stromal activation signature was assessed by the NTP algorithm. Patients in the immune class showed highly enriched signatures of immunocytes, while the exhausted subgroup also exhibited activated transforming growth factor (TGF)-β1, and cancer-associated extracellular matrix signatures. Patients in the immune-activated subgroup showed a lower genetic alteration and better overall survival. Anti-PD-1/PD-L1 immunotherapy was more beneficial for the immune-activated subgroup, while immune checkpoint blockade therapy plus a TGF-β inhibitor or an EP300 inhibitor might achieve greater efficacy for patients in the immune-exhausted subgroup. Novel immune molecular classifier was identified for the innovative immunotherapy of patients with bladder cancer.